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Saturday, 26 March 2011

Gaining Profits From The Enigmas - Stock Markets Aren't Always Right.

By Feliz Navita


There are numerous different factors that have an effect on stock exchange levels on a minute-to-minute basis. This includes inflation info, Gross Domestic Product ( GDP ), rates, unemployment, supply, demand, political changes, and wider business forces, amongst others.

Complicating this are some general market trends, which have been determined traditionally to be. Like their share-price-based siblings, these stock exchange absurdities may provide purchasing possibilities for investors. These ambiguities include :

Price-based regularities:

1. Lower-priced stocks have a tendency to outperform higher-priced stocks, and firms have a tendency to increase in value after the statement of stock split.

2. Smaller companies tend to outperform larger companies, which is a key reason for investing in small cap stocks.

3. Firms have a tendency to reserve their price direction in the short and long-term.

4. Companies that have a depressed stock price tend to suffer from tax-loss selling in December and bounce back in January.

Calendar-based regularities :

These regularities permit you to better time your investments in the short term. Though stockholders should remember that over the long run the advantages of a regular investment plan ( investing every month ) completely outweigh the advantages of attempting to time your investment by 1 or 2 days, the following patterns have been proven to happen.

1. Time-of-the-day effect. The beginning and the end of the stock market day exhibit different return and volatility characteristics.

2. Day-of-the-week effect. The stock markets tend to start the week weak and finish the week strong.

3. Week-of-the-month effect. The stock market tends to earn the majority of its returns in the first two weeks of the month.

4. Month-of-the-year effect. The 1st month of the year tends to show increased returns over the remainder of the year. This is known as the Jan effect.

Stockholders should remember that not every ambiguity comes about each and every time but ensuring you are mindful of ambiguities will enable you to profit over the long-term and handle market volatility in the short term. Briefly profit from these ambiguities, but do not target to use these enigmas at the cost of your long term investment objectives.




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